I use formal models and game theory, along with statistical and qualitative analysis, to help understand how wars begin and end. My dissertation showed that military factors create commitment problems that inhibit negotiations to end wars. I have several ongoing projects examining when commitment problems can cause war, the relationship between uncertainty and war, and whena nd why coercion succeeds and fails.
keywords
war, war trends, war termination, causes of war, bargaining model of war, military strategy, coercion, deterrence
